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by: Vickram Cuttaree, Cledan Mandri-Perrott
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The global financial crisis that began in late 2008 has set back
ambitious infrastructure development plans among many countries in
Europe and Central Asia (ECA). Many such plans relied on Public-Private
Partnerships (PPP) arrangements. Furthermore, the financial crisis
resulted in sharp declines in gross domestic product (GDP) and
country’s deteriorating fiscal space restricted the scope for
maintaining the level of investment or introducing counter-cyclical
measures driven by public sector investment in infrastructure. Soaring
levels of public debt, limited room to cut expenditures, and lower tax
receipts due to slower than expected economic growth will mean that the
‘fiscal space’ in the region to make public investments in
infrastructure will be strained in the coming years. The ability of
many ECA country governments to expand expenditure any further, even
for productive investments in infrastructure, will thus prove
challenging.
Nevertheless, the year 2010 saw some countries and cities reaching
financial close on multi-billion projects while others are still
struggling to close their first PPP project in highway. The comparison
of the Pulkovo Airport in Russia and the Comarnic-Brasov Highway in
Romania is an illustration of this situation. On one hand St Petersburg
developed a robust PPP project that involved the rehabilitation of an
existing asset with established demand. On the other hand, the Romania
examples show how projects with large capital requirements with unknown
demand risk are still considered risky for the private sector,
especially in the context of reduced liquidity from the financial
crisis.
This study shows that PPP financing remains viable and can bring
value to the economy, despite the difficulties that projects faced. The
global financial crisis has created new opportunities for the ECA
Region to refocus PPP projects on value-for-money and financial
sustainability, as the primary drivers for private participation, and
using the range of options and innovative approaches discussed
above.
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